The Yen has peaked on a trade weighted basis and against the US Dollar and is expected to weaken significantly during April. The basis for this forecast is the political necessity for currency weakness at the start of the new fiscal year. More
Grant Peterkin
Senior Portfolio Manager, Co-Fund Manager
Mar 29, 2012 at 12:00pm
The delayed reaction to the ECB’s three year long-term repo operation has provided a powerful boost to peripheral government bond markets. More
Stuart Thomson
Chief Economist, Co-Fund Manager
Jan 31, 2012 at 2:15pm
I watched the Lamb open the first of the seven seals. Then I heard one of four living creatures say in a voice like thunder “come and see!” I looked, and there before me was a white horse! Its rider held a bow, and he was given a crown, and he rode out as a conqueror bent on conquest. More
Stuart Thomson
Chief Economist, Co-Fund Manager
Jan 30, 2012 at 3:53pm
Italy has had a torrid time over the past month, yet over the past week its benchmark 10yr yield rose by just 9bps to 6.41% having reached a peak of 7.56% prior to the resignation of Prime Minister Berlusconi and passage of further draconian austerity measures. More
Stuart Thomson
Chief Economist, Co-Fund Manager
Nov 16, 2011 at 3:39pm
Bond Vigilantes have an interesting post up wondering if the DMO will redeem the war loan. After a moments reflection I have to wonder, why wouldn’t they? It’s seems to be a clearly profitable trade. More
Adam Purzitsky
Senior Quantitative Portfolio Manager, Co-Fund Manager
Nov 10, 2011 at 11:42am
The Pension Protection Fund published its latest health check for defined benefit pension funds yesterday and its conclusions provide bad news for finance directors. The aggregate deficit of the 6,533 schemes in the PPF7800 index increased sharply from £8.3bn at the end of June to £67. More
Stuart Thomson
Chief Economist, Co-Fund Manager
Aug 11, 2011 at 10:14am
Last week’s fiscal package was the least that the politicians could have achieved in terms of both short and medium term austerity. More
Stuart Thomson
Chief Economist, Co-Fund Manager
Aug 8, 2011 at 2:58pm